Built on a Dixon-Coles statistical model blended with market consensus probabilities. Accuracy figures on this page are measured over 304 completed matches.
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Dixon-Coles Model
Advanced Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction for low-score matches. More accurate than naive Poisson in real-world scenarios.
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Market Blend
45% statistical model, 55% market consensus. A fixed weighting, applied the same way to every match rather than tuned per fixture.
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Squad Analysis
Real-time injury and suspension data automatically adjusts expected goal lambdas before computing probabilities.
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Double Chance
73% accuracy on double chance calls across 304 completed matches. When the top two outcomes sit close together the model says so, instead of forcing a single pick.
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Harmony Score
✅ when the model and the market agree, ⚠️ when they diverge. A plain reading of how far apart the two sources are.
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15 Leagues
Fifteen competitions across Europe, South America and Asia: England, Germany, Italy, Spain, France, Türkiye, Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, Iceland, Brazil, South Korea, Vietnam, and the top European club competition.